Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent at Healthy Weight⁽¹⁾

Projected healthy weight trend (2005-2020) (Line)
X	Y
2004	3.3
2005	3.1
2006	3
2007	2.9
2008	2.9
2009	2.9
2010	2.8
2011	2.8
2012	2.8
2013	2.8
2014	2.8
2015	2.8
2016	2.8
2017	2.8
2018	2.8
2019	2.8
2020	2.8
Healthy People 2010 goal met ⁽³⁾ (Line)
X	Y
2004	14.2
2005	20
2006	27.1
2007	35.29
2008	43.7
2009	52.6
2010	59.8
2011	59.4
2012	58.9
2013	58.5
2014	57.99
2015	57.49
2016	57.09
2017	56.59
2018	56.3
2019	56
2020	55.7
Optimistic but realistic goal ⁽³⁾ (Line)
X	Y
2004	14.2
2005	13.9
2006	13.7
2007	13.6
2008	13.5
2009	13.6
2010	13.5
2011	13.4
2012	13.4
2013	13.4
2014	13.4
2015	13.6
2016	13.7
2017	14
2018	14.09
2019	14.39
2020	14.7
Healthy weight trend (1970-2004) (Line)
X	Y
1970	2.39
1971	2.45
1972	2.58
1973	2.74
1974	2.89
1975	3.06
1976	3.27
1977	3.45
1978	3.63
1979	3.79
1980	3.94
1981	4.07
1982	4.19
1983	4.3
1984	4.39
1985	4.47
1986	4.56
1987	4.64
1988	4.72
1989	4.78
1990	4.95
1991	5.01
1992	5.07
1993	5.12
1994	5.17
1995	5.22
1996	5.27
1997	5.32
1998	5.36
1999	5.4
2000	5.28
2001	5.31
2002	5.34
2003	3.56
2004	3.3
NHANES data (Scatter)
X	Scale label
1989	3%
1993	6.8%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
X	Scale label
2010	60%

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy weight defined as body mass index 18.5-24.9 kg/m%u00B2;.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-39y, 40-59y, 60-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).