Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Engaging in Regular Vigorous Physical Activity(1)

White Males, Ages 25-74(2)

Projected vigorous physical activity trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200424
200524
200624
200724
200824
200923.9
201023.9
201123.9
201223.79
201323.79
201423.79
201523.79
201623.79
201723.7
201823.7
201923.7
202023.7
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3) (Line)
XY
200424
200525.1
200626.2
200726.9
200827.8
200928.79
201029.5
201130
201230.5
201331.1
201431.6
201532.3
201633
201733.8
201834.69
201935.6
202036.5
Optimistic but realistic goal (3) (Line)
XY
200424
200524.4
200624.8
200725.2
200825.6
200925.9
201026.2
201126.6
201226.9
201327.3
201427.7
201528.1
201628.49
201728.9
201829.29
201929.79
202030.3
Vigorous physical activity trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
197024
197124.1
197224.1
197324.1
197424.1
197524.1
197624.1
197724.1
197824
197924
198024
198123.9
198223.9
198323.9
198423.9
198523.9
198623.9
198724
198824
198924
199024
199124
199224.1
199324.1
199424.1
199524.1
199624.1
199724.1
199824.1
199924.1
200024.1
200124.1
200224.1
200324.1
200424
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
198924.6%
199324.2%
199925.3%
200126.8%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
XScale label
201030%

 

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy People 2010 defines regular vigorous activity as 20 or more minutes of vigorous activity 3 ore more times per week. The CISNET-Colon models measure physical activity in MET-hours per week. Using this measure, vigorous activity is defined as 11.9+ MET-hours per week.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-34y, 34-44y, 45-64y, 65-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).