Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent at Healthy Weight⁽¹⁾

Projected healthy weight trend (2005-2020) (Line)
X	Y
2004	21.7
2005	21.4
2006	21.1
2007	20.9
2008	20.7
2009	20.5
2010	20.39
2011	20.2
2012	20
2013	19.8
2014	19.7
2015	19.5
2016	19.4
2017	19.3
2018	19.1
2019	19
2020	18.8
Healthy People 2010 goal met ⁽³⁾ (Line)
X	Y
2004	21.7
2005	27.2
2006	33.3
2007	39.8
2008	46.5
2009	53.5
2010	60.2
2011	60.5
2012	60.7
2013	60.9
2014	61.1
2015	61.3
2016	61.2
2017	61.3
2018	61.4
2019	61.4
2020	61.3
Optimistic but realistic goal ⁽³⁾ (Line)
X	Y
2004	21.7
2005	21.9
2006	22.2
2007	22.5
2008	22.6
2009	22.9
2010	23.2
2011	23.4
2012	23.5
2013	23.79
2014	23.79
2015	23.9
2016	24.1
2017	24.2
2018	24.2
2019	24.3
2020	24.4
Healthy weight trend (1970-2004) (Line)
X	Y
1970	46.5
1971	45.1
1972	43.9
1973	42.7
1974	41.6
1975	40.5
1976	39.5
1977	38.6
1978	37.6
1979	36.6
1980	35.69
1981	34.9
1982	34
1983	33.1
1984	32.3
1985	31.4
1986	30.6
1987	30
1988	29.29
1989	28.6
1990	28
1991	27.4
1992	26.8
1993	26.2
1994	25.7
1995	25.4
1996	24.8
1997	24.4
1998	23.9
1999	23.5
2000	23.2
2001	22.8
2002	22.5
2003	22.1
2004	21.7
NHANES data (Scatter)
X	Scale label
1973	40.4%
1978	43.1%
1989	37.2%
1993	31.3%
1999	28.9%
2001	26.7%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
X	Scale label
2010	60%

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy weight defined as body mass index 18.5-24.9 kg/m%u00B2;.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-39y, 40-59y, 60-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).