Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent at Healthy Weight⁽¹⁾

Projected healthy weight trend (2005-2020) (Line)
X	Y
2004	25.4
2005	24.9
2006	24.3
2007	23.79
2008	23.1
2009	22.6
2010	22
2011	21.4
2012	20.8
2013	20.3
2014	19.7
2015	19
2016	18.5
2017	17.89
2018	17.39
2019	16.9
2020	16.5
Healthy People 2010 goal met ⁽³⁾ (Line)
X	Y
2004	25.41
2005	30.4
2006	35.87
2007	41.83
2008	47.8
2009	54.06
2010	59.94
2011	59.64
2012	59.39
2013	59.11
2014	58.78
2015	58.35
2016	58.03
2017	57.68
2018	57.23
2019	56.85
2020	56.52
Optimistic but realistic goal ⁽³⁾ (Line)
X	Y
2004	25.4
2005	25.4
2006	25.5
2007	25.6
2008	25.5
2009	25.6
2010	25.7
2011	25.7
2012	25.6
2013	25.6
2014	25.6
2015	25.6
2016	25.6
2017	25.5
2018	25.6
2019	25.7
2020	25.7
Healthy weight trend (1970-2004) (Line)
X	Y
1970	47.2
1971	46.9
1972	46.5
1973	45.8
1974	45.3
1975	44.7
1976	44.2
1977	43.6
1978	43.1
1979	42.6
1980	42
1981	41.3
1982	40.5
1983	40
1984	39.2
1985	38.4
1986	37.6
1987	37
1988	36.19
1989	35.6
1990	34.79
1991	34
1992	33.4
1993	32.7
1994	32.1
1995	31.3
1996	30.5
1997	29.79
1998	29.1
1999	28.4
2000	27.8
2001	27.2
2002	26.7
2003	26.1
2004	25.4
NHANES data (Scatter)
X	Scale label
1973	46.4%
1978	43%
1989	40.79%
1993	36.6%
1999	34.9%
2001	30.4%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
X	Scale label
2010	60%

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy weight defined as body mass index 18.5-24.9 kg/m%u00B2;.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-39y, 40-59y, 60-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).