Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Using Multivitamins(1)

White Males, Ages 25-74(2)

Projected multivitamin use trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200448.7
200550.3
200651.5
200752.7
200853.8
200955
201056.1
201157.09
201258.09
201359.2
201460.09
201561.1
201662
201762.9
201863.8
201964.6
202065.5
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3) (Line)
XY
200448.7
200556
200662.3
200767.6
200872.3
200976.2
201079.6
201179.7
201279.7
201379.7
201479.7
201579.7
201679.8
201779.8
201879.8
201979.8
202079.7
Optimistic but realistic goal (3) (Line)
XY
200448.7
200551.2
200653.5
200755.8
200858.09
200960.2
201062.2
201163.7
201265.1
201366.5
201467.7
201569
201670.19
201771.3
201872.39
201973.5
202074.5
Multivitamin use trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
19707.3
19717.8
19728.3
19738.9
19749.5
197510.19
197610.9
197711.7
197812.5
197913.4
198014.3
198115.3
198216.3
198317.39
198418.6
198519.8
198621
198722.4
198823.7
198925.1
199026.5
199128
199229.5
199331
199432.6
199534.1
199635.69
199737.29
199839
199940.6
200042.2
200143.9
200245.5
200347.09
200448.7
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
197810.4%
198928.1%
199332.5%
199940%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
XScale label
201080%

 

Footnotes:

(1) The official Healthy People 2010 objective is to increase the proportion of women of child-bearing age (i.e., 15-44y) who consume at least 400�g of folic acid each day. Folic acid consumption prior to and during pregnancy has been shown to reduce the risk of neural tube defects among newborns. One way to achieve this target is to take a multivitamin containing folic acid. Since regular multivitamin use also is associated with a reduction in the risk of colorectal adenomas and cancer, we applied the objective to the entire adult population regardless of age or gender.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-44y, 45-64y, 65-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).