Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Eating 2+ Servings/Week of Red Meat(1)(2)

White Males, Ages 25-74(3)

Projected red meat consumption trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200430.3
200530.4
200630.6
200730.7
200830.9
200931
201031.2
201131.4
201231.6
201331.9
201432
201532.2
201632.3
201732.4
201832.5
201932.6
202032.7
Optimistic but realistic goal (4) (Line)
XY
200430.3
200530
200629.7
200729.4
200829.1
200928.79
201028.6
201128.29
201228
201327.7
201427.4
201527.1
201626.7
201726.3
201826.1
201925.8
202025.5
Red meat consumption trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
197082.3
197180.8
197278.9
197377.2
197475.5
197570.8
197667.8
197764.9
197861.8
197957.4
198055
198152
198248.5
198346.3
198444.4
198542.3
198639.9
198737.1
198834.9
198933.8
199033
199132
199231.2
199330.6
199430
199529.5
199629.4
199729.29
199829.4
199929.4
200029.6
200129.7
200229.9
200330.1
200430.3
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
197377.4%
197864.9%
198936.7%
199335.29%
199931.7%
200130.7%

 

Footnotes:

(1) A serving of red meat is defined as 5 ounces of beef, lamb, or pork as a main dish.

(2) Healthy People 2010 did not set an objective for red meat consumption.

(3) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-29y, 30-39y, 40-49y, 50-59y, 60-69y, 70-74y.

(4) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).