Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Engaging in Moderate or Vigorous Physical Activity(1)

White Females, Ages 25-74(2)

Projected moderate-vigorous physical activty trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200430.2
200530.1
200630
200730
200829.9
200929.79
201029.79
201129.7
201229.6
201329.5
201429.5
201529.4
201629.29
201729.29
201829.29
201929.2
202029.2
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3) (Line)
XY
200430.2
200532.7
200634.79
200737.79
200841.9
200945.4
201049.7
201150.3
201251
201351.5
201452.8
201554
201654.8
201755.9
201856.8
201957.9
202059.09
Optimistic but realistic goal (3) (Line)
XY
200430.2
200530.6
200631.3
200731.9
200832.4
200932.9
201033.4
201133.9
201234.5
201335.09
201435.69
201536.4
201637.2
201737.9
201838.6
201939.3
202040.1
Moderate-vigorous physical activty trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
197032
197131.9
197231.9
197331.9
197431.9
197531.8
197631.8
197731.8
197831.8
197931.7
198031.6
198131.5
198231.5
198331.4
198431.4
198531.3
198631.3
198731.2
198831.2
198931.1
199031.1
199131
199231
199331
199430.9
199530.9
199630.8
199730.7
199830.5
199930.4
200030.4
200130.4
200230.3
200330.2
200430.2
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
198932.5%
199332.1%
199934.79%
200134.9%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
XScale label
201050%

 

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy People 2010 defines regular moderate activity as 30 or more minutes of light or moderate physical activity 5 or more times per week and regular vigorous activity as 20 or more minutes of vigorous activity 3 or more times per week. The CISNET-Colon models measure physical activity in MET-hours per week. Using this measure, moderate activity is defined as 7.2+ MET-hours per week.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-34y, 34-44y, 45-64y, 65-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).