Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Engaging in Regular Vigorous Physical Activity(1)

White Females, Ages 25-74(2)

Projected vigorous physical activity trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200420.39
200520.39
200620.3
200720.3
200820.2
200920.2
201020.2
201120.1
201220.1
201320.1
201420.1
201520.1
201620
201720
201819.9
201919.9
202020
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3) (Line)
XY
200420.39
200521.9
200623.2
200724.6
200826
200927.4
201029.6
201130.2
201230.8
201331.5
201432.2
201533
201633.7
201734.59
201835.4
201936.29
202037.29
Optimistic but realistic goal (3) (Line)
XY
200420.39
200520.9
200621.4
200721.8
200822.2
200922.7
201023.1
201123.5
201224
201324.4
201424.9
201525.3
201625.8
201726.3
201826.7
201927.2
202027.7
Vigorous physical activity trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
197021.8
197121.8
197221.8
197321.8
197421.8
197521.7
197621.6
197721.5
197821.5
197921.4
198021.4
198121.3
198221.2
198321.2
198421.1
198521.1
198621
198720.9
198820.9
198920.9
199020.8
199120.7
199220.7
199320.7
199420.7
199520.7
199620.7
199720.6
199820.6
199920.6
200020.6
200120.5
200220.5
200320.39
200420.39
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
198922%
199322.6%
199926.2%
200124.2%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
XScale label
201030%

 

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy People 2010 defines regular vigorous activity as 20 or more minutes of vigorous activity 3 ore more times per week. The CISNET-Colon models measure physical activity in MET-hours per week. Using this measure, vigorous activity is defined as 11.9+ MET-hours per week.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-34y, 34-44y, 45-64y, 65-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).