Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Using Multivitamins(1)

White Females, Ages 25-74(2)

Projected multivitamin use trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200448.1
200548.6
200649.1
200749.6
200850.1
200950.6
201051.1
201151.6
201252.1
201352.5
201453
201553.4
201653.7
201754
201854.3
201954.4
202054.3
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3) (Line)
XY
200448.1
200555.8
200662.5
200768.1
200872.89
200977
201080.4
201180.6
201280.6
201380.7
201480.7
201580.7
201680.8
201780.8
201880.8
201980.8
202080.8
Optimistic but realistic goal (3) (Line)
XY
200448.1
200550.1
200651.9
200753.6
200855.2
200956.8
201058.3
201159.8
201261.1
201362.4
201463.6
201564.7
201665.6
201766.5
201867.1
201967.5
202067.5
Multivitamin use trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
19709.6
197110.3
197211.1
197312
197413
197514
197615.1
197716.3
197817.5
197918.8
198020.1
198121.5
198222.9
198324.4
198425.8
198527.3
198628.79
198730.3
198831.8
198933.2
199034.59
199135.9
199237.2
199338.5
199439.6
199540.79
199641.8
199742.8
199843.7
199944.6
200045.4
200146.1
200246.8
200347.5
200448.1
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
197814.3%
198938.4%
199339.6%
199946.2%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
XScale label
201080%

 

Footnotes:

(1) The official Healthy People 2010 objective is to increase the proportion of women of child-bearing age (i.e., 15-44y) who consume at least 400�g of folic acid each day. Folic acid consumption prior to and during pregnancy has been shown to reduce the risk of neural tube defects among newborns. One way to achieve this target is to take a multivitamin containing folic acid. Since regular multivitamin use also is associated with a reduction in the risk of colorectal adenomas and cancer, we applied the objective to the entire adult population regardless of age or gender.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-44y, 45-64y, 65-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).