Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Engaging in Regular Vigorous Physical Activity(1)

Black Males, Ages 25-74(2)

Projected vigorous physical activity trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200431.8
200531.6
200631.4
200731.1
200830.9
200930.7
201030.5
201130.2
201230
201329.7
201429.5
201529.2
201628.99
201728.79
201828.6
201928.29
202028.1
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3) (Line)
XY
200431.77
200531.71
200631.65
200731.59
200831.53
200931.46
201031.39
201131.29
201231.19
201331.06
201430.95
201530.81
201630.65
201730.51
201830.31
201930.1
202029.94
Optimistic but realistic goal (3) (Line)
XY
200431.8
200532
200632.1
200732.3
200832.5
200932.8
201033.1
201133.4
201233.7
201334
201434.3
201534.59
201634.79
201735.09
201835.4
201935.69
202036
Vigorous physical activity trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
197029.4
197129.79
197230.1
197330.5
197430.8
197531.1
197631.4
197731.7
197831.9
197932.1
198032.3
198132.5
198232.7
198332.8
198433
198533.1
198633.2
198733.2
198833.3
198933.4
199033.4
199133.3
199233.3
199333.2
199433.2
199533.1
199633
199732.9
199832.8
199932.7
200032.5
200132.4
200232.2
200332
200431.8
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
198928.79%
199329.79%
199927.5%
200125.8%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
XScale label
201030%

 

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy People 2010 defines regular vigorous activity as 20 or more minutes of vigorous activity 3 ore more times per week. The CISNET-Colon models measure physical activity in MET-hours per week. Using this measure, vigorous activity is defined as 11.9+ MET-hours per week.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-34y, 34-44y, 45-64y, 65-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).