Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Eating 2+ Servings/Week of Red Meat(1)(2)

Black Males, Ages 25-74(3)

Projected red meat consumption trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200432
200532.3
200632.7
200733
200833.5
200933.9
201034.4
201134.69
201235
201335.4
201435.69
201536.19
201636.7
201737.29
201837.7
201938.29
202038.8
Optimistic but realistic goal (4) (Line)
XY
200432
200532
200631.9
200731.8
200831.8
200931.8
201031.8
201131.7
201231.6
201331.5
201431.5
201531.6
201631.7
201731.8
201832
201932.1
202032.3
Red meat consumption trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
197077.3
197175.9
197273.9
197371.89
197468.1
197565.9
197662.2
197759.5
197857.4
197955.1
198051.9
198149.3
198247.3
198344.8
198442.5
198541
198639.7
198738.4
198836.4
198934.79
199033.8
199133.3
199232.5
199331.9
199431.4
199531.1
199631
199731
199831
199931.1
200031.1
200131.3
200231.5
200331.7
200432
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
197371.89%
197857.9%
198932.5%
199338.8%
199934.3%
200130.2%

 

Footnotes:

(1) A serving of red meat is defined as 5 ounces of beef, lamb, or pork as a main dish.

(2) Healthy People 2010 did not set an objective for red meat consumption.

(3) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-29y, 30-39y, 40-49y, 50-59y, 60-69y, 70-74y.

(4) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).