Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Engaging in Regular Vigorous Physical Activity(1)

Black Females, Ages 25-74(2)

Projected vigorous physical activity trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200421.3
200521.3
200621.3
200721.3
200821.2
200921.2
201020.9
201120.8
201221
201321.2
201421.4
201521.5
201621.6
201721.6
201821.7
201921.7
202021.8
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3) (Line)
XY
200421.3
200522.4
200623.6
200725.2
200826.5
200928.1
201030.2
201128.99
201228.29
201328
201427.9
201527.9
201628.29
201728.7
201828.99
201929.2
202029.4
Optimistic but realistic goal (3) (Line)
XY
200421.3
200522.2
200623
200723.7
200824.3
200925
201025.6
201126.1
201226.6
201327.1
201427.6
201528.1
201628.9
201729.29
201829.79
201930.2
202030.7
Vigorous physical activity trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
197019.59
197119.58
197219.78
197319.97
197420.14
197520.28
197620.39
197720.44
197820.48
197920.54
198020.56
198120.64
198220.73
198320.82
198420.92
198520.93
198620.91
198720.79
198820.62
198920.65
199020.69
199120.78
199220.83
199320.92
199420.98
199520.92
199620.91
199721
199820.98
199921.08
200021.14
200121.16
200221.22
200321.23
200421.3
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
198921%
199318.39%
199923.1%
200119.8%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
XScale label
201030%

 

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy People 2010 defines regular vigorous activity as 20 or more minutes of vigorous activity 3 ore more times per week. The CISNET-Colon models measure physical activity in MET-hours per week. Using this measure, vigorous activity is defined as 11.9+ MET-hours per week.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-34y, 34-44y, 45-64y, 65-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).