Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Eating 5+ Servings/Day of Fruit & Vegetables(1)

Black Females, Ages 25-74(2)

Projected fruit & vegetable consumption trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200433.5
200533.5
200633.5
200733.5
200833.4
200933.4
201033.3
201133.4
201233.5
201333.5
201433.6
201533.7
201633.7
201733.8
201833.8
201933.8
202033.8
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3) (Line)
XY
200433.5
200536.79
200639.7
200742.2
200845.1
200948
201050.6
201151
201251.3
201351.6
201451.5
201551.2
201651
201750.6
201850.1
201949.6
202049
Optimistic but realistic goal (3) (Line)
XY
200433.5
200534.3
200634.9
200735.4
200835.79
200936.19
201036.6
201137
201237.29
201337.6
201437.79
201538
201638.2
201738.29
201838.4
201938.29
202038.1
Fruit & vegetable consumption trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
197028.31
197128.49
197228.67
197328.84
197429.18
197529.35
197629.51
197729.69
197829.89
197930.02
198030.08
198130.21
198230.34
198330.46
198430.66
198530.83
198630.85
198730.91
198831.03
198931.13
199031.23
199131.44
199231.68
199331.93
199432.11
199532.3
199632.54
199732.75
199832.95
199933.13
200033.28
200133.33
200233.37
200333.41
200433.5
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
197329.2%
197834.2%
198926.5%
199328.79%
199927.4%
200132.6%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
XScale label
201050%

 

Footnotes:

(1) Healthy People 2010 has separate objectives for fruit consumption and vegetable consumption (2 or more and 3 or more servings per day respectively) . The CISNET-Colon models measure the combined servings per day of fruits and vegetables. For modeling purposes, we treated the objective as a total of five or more servings of fruits and/or vegetables per day. This redefined objective is consistent with the CDC's "5 a Day for Better Health" program that aims to increase the number of daily serving of fruit and vegetables to 5 or more.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-29y, 30-39y, 40-49y, 50-59y, 60-69y, 70-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).