Risk Factor Model Inputs through 2020

Percent Using Multivitamins(1)

Black Females, Ages 25-74(2)

Projected multivitamin use trend (2005-2020) (Line)
XY
200430.4
200530.6
200630.7
200730.8
200830.9
200931
201031
201131.1
201231.1
201331.1
201431.1
201531.1
201631.1
201731
201830.9
201930.8
202030.7
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3) (Line)
XY
200430.4
200544.1
200654.9
200763.5
200870.5
200976.09
201080.2
201179.8
201279.5
201379.2
201478.8
201578.3
201678
201777.6
201877.2
201976.9
202076.4
Optimistic but realistic goal (3) (Line)
XY
200430.4
200531.7
200633
200734.1
200835.09
200936.1
201037
201137
201237
201336.9
201436.79
201536.79
201636.7
201736.6
201836.5
201936.4
202036.29
Multivitamin use trend (1970-2004) (Line)
XY
19703.94
19714.5
19725.12
19735.79
19746.53
19757.33
19768.16
19779.06
197810
197911.17
198012.36
198113.56
198214.78
198315.99
198417.2
198518.39
198619.57
198720.72
198821.84
198922.92
199023.92
199124.87
199225.54
199326.15
199426.73
199527.28
199627.81
199728.33
199828.83
199929.15
200029.47
200129.76
200230.02
200330.24
200430.4
NHANES data (Scatter)
XScale label
19786.4%
198924.9%
199327.5%
199930.3%
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (Scatter)
XScale label
201080%

 

Footnotes:

(1) The official Healthy People 2010 objective is to increase the proportion of women of child-bearing age (i.e., 15-44y) who consume at least 400�g of folic acid each day. Folic acid consumption prior to and during pregnancy has been shown to reduce the risk of neural tube defects among newborns. One way to achieve this target is to take a multivitamin containing folic acid. Since regular multivitamin use also is associated with a reduction in the risk of colorectal adenomas and cancer, we applied the objective to the entire adult population regardless of age or gender.

(2) Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 25-44y, 45-64y, 65-74y.

(3) Age-specific trends applied after the year 2010 (no period trends).