Difficult but feasible goal (3) (Line) | |
---|---|
X | Y |
2005 | 20.37 |
2006 | 20.4 |
2007 | 20.99 |
2008 | 21.36 |
2009 | 21.75 |
2010 | 22.11 |
2011 | 22.16 |
2012 | 22.27 |
2013 | 22.46 |
2014 | 22.71 |
2015 | 22.92 |
2016 | 22.68 |
2017 | 22.46 |
2018 | 22.42 |
2019 | 22.49 |
2020 | 22.88 |
Healthy People 2010 goal met (3)(1) (Line) | |
X | Y |
2005 | 22.68 |
2006 | 25.56 |
2007 | 28.11 |
2008 | 29.65 |
2009 | 30.97 |
2010 | 32.18 |
2011 | 32.79 |
2012 | 33.25 |
2013 | 33.66 |
2014 | 34.04 |
2015 | 34.37 |
2016 | 34.06 |
2017 | 33.75 |
2018 | 33.62 |
2019 | 33.37 |
2020 | 33.51 |
NHIS data (4) (Scatter) | |
X | Scale label |
2000 | 21.64% |
2003 | 27% |
2005 | 20% |
NHIS data (2) (4) (Scatter) | |
X | Scale label |
1987 | 3.8% |
1992 | 6.9% |
1998 | 15.2% |
Home FOBT in the past 2 years trend (1970-2004) (Line) | |
X | Y |
1979 | 1.55 |
1980 | 3.15 |
1981 | 3.88 |
1982 | 4.54 |
1983 | 5.25 |
1984 | 5.99 |
1985 | 6.77 |
1986 | 7.65 |
1987 | 8.59 |
1988 | 10.33 |
1989 | 12.14 |
1990 | 13.62 |
1991 | 14.9 |
1992 | 16.2 |
1993 | 16.41 |
1994 | 16.73 |
1995 | 17.23 |
1996 | 17.93 |
1997 | 18.63 |
1998 | 19.27 |
1999 | 21.42 |
2000 | 23.99 |
2001 | 23.67 |
2002 | 23.67 |
2003 | 23.92 |
2004 | 22.76 |
2005 | 20.4 |
Projected home FOBT in the past 2 years trend (2005-2020) (Line) | |
X | Y |
2005 | 20.4 |
2006 | 19.86 |
2007 | 19.64 |
2008 | 19.49 |
2009 | 19.3 |
2010 | 19.1 |
2011 | 18.6 |
2012 | 18.18 |
2013 | 17.82 |
2014 | 17.48 |
2015 | 17.22 |
2016 | 16.67 |
2017 | 16.14 |
2018 | 15.83 |
2019 | 15.59 |
2020 | 15.63 |
Healthy People 2010 U.S. Target (1) (Scatter) | |
X | Scale label |
2010 | 33% |
Footnotes:
[1] The official Healthy People 2010 objective is to increase the proportion of adults aged 50+ receiving a fecal occult blood test (FOBT) in the past two years to 50%. The location of the test (i.e., home or office) was not specified. Since the sensitivity for detecting advanced neoplasia is much higher for home-based FOBTs (23.9%) than for office-based FOBTs (4.9%) (Collins et al., Ann Intern Med 2005), we restated the Healthy People 2010 goal as to increase the proportion of adults aged 50+ receiving a home-based FOBT in the past two years to 50%.
[2] Age adjusted to the 2000 standard population using age groups 50-64y and 65+y.
[3] Trend assumed to be flat after the Healthy People 2010 objective is met.
[4] The NHIS questions regarding history of FOBT vary by year. In the 2000 and 2003, respondents were asked when they had their last home-based FOBT (red diamonds). Prior to 2000, respondents were asked when they had their last FOBT and whether their last FOBT was a home- or an office-based test. We used two approaches to estimate the proportion receiving a home-based FOBT in the past two years prior to the year 2000. In one approach we assumed that if the last test was an office-based FOBT, then the person would not have had a home-based test in the previous two years (red stars). In the second approach we estimated the proportion having a home-based FOBT prior to 2000 assuming that the proportion of total FOBTs that are home-based is the same as the proportion observed in 2000 (red crosses).